Articles written by: Chris Sherman

Chris is a data scientist who was a mediocre left back and center back for the Upper Dublin High School..... JV team. He then got a Computer Science & Business degree from Lehigh University and a Master's' degree from Northwestern University in Predictive Analytics. He likes data and building programs to do his thinking for him.

SEBA Projections

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through August 13

Philadelphia playoffs chances plummet. New Union player +/- analysis is available though!

Analysis / Statistics

Investigating home field advantage in MLS, Part 4a: Aggregate referee bias

Home field advantage can be staggering in MLS. Chris Sherman breaks down the numbers to see if the referees have anything to do with that.

SEBA Projections

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through August 6

The Union improve slightly in this week’s SEBA updates.

SEBA Projections

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through July 30

Philadelphia’s playoff chances actually increase a bit, but nowhere near as far as they need to. Bethlehem shows its belly and joins the fray of teams fighting for playoff slots.

SEBA Projections

Updated MLS, USL, NWSL, and Gold Cup SEBA projections through July 23

Philadelphia’s chances at the playoffs take a steep dive. The USMNT has a very winnable Gold Cup final, even against Andre Blake.

SEBA Projections

Updated MLS, USL, NWSL, and Gold Cup SEBA projections through July 16

The USA moves on to the quarter-finals, and the U.S. Open Cup makes progress.

SEBA Projections

Updated Gold Cup SEBA projections through July 13

A quick update on Gold Cup projections with two matches per team completed

SEBA Projections

Updated MLS, USL, NWSL, and Gold Cup SEBA projections through July 9

Philadelphia keeps pace with expectations, but still needs to over-perform to make a serious push at playoffs. Gold Cup projections are thrown in as a bonus for those interested.

Analysis / Statistics

Investigating home field advantage in MLS, Part 3: Scheduling and short rest

Chris Sherman looks at the impact of short rest on performance. He also looks at whether MLS schedules favor home teams with longer rest and if that could impact home field advantage.

SEBA Projections

Updated SEBA international forecasts through July 3

Ahead of the Gold Cup, check out the tournament’s projections for the USMNT. Also includes updated World Cup Qualifying projections.